基于动态知识图谱的煤矿事故知识演化研究

Research on the Knowledge Evolution of Coal Mine Accidents Based on Dynamic Knowledge Graph

  • 摘要: 为探究煤矿事故致因随时间的演变规律,基于动态知识图谱的分析框架,梳理了事故相关知识的演进路径。以2017-2025年的82份煤矿事故报告作为主要数据源,构建融合时序特征的煤矿事故知识元语义模型;采用BERT-BiLSTM-CRF模型结合规则模板的方法,自动抽取事故致因知识,构建出煤矿事故动态知识图谱;运用复杂网络分析方法,从网络结构、节点、风险-致因映射及路径等方面分析事故致因知识的演化特征。结果表明:事故致因网络结构发生演变,分散结构逐渐变得更加紧密耦合;事故致因由行为操作层向制度与系统层演化;管理、技术、行为类风险在暴露程度与转化能力上呈现显著分化;早期较短的关键致因路径逐渐演化为跨层级、多环节传导链条。基于上述演化规律,建议安全治理应由事后纠偏向事前预防、由单点管控向系统协同转型,为我国煤矿安全治理从行为管控向系统治理的转型提供知识基础与决策依据。

     

    Abstract: To investigate the temporal evolution of the causes of coal mine accidents, we utilized a dynamic knowledge graph analysis framework to trace the evolution of accident-related knowledge. Using 82 coal mine accident reports from 2017 to 2025 as the primary data source, we constructed a semantic model of coal mine accident knowledge entities that integrates temporal features; Using a method that combines the BERT-BiLSTM-CRF model with rule templates, we automatically extracted knowledge regarding accident causes and constructed a dynamic knowledge graph of coal mine accidents; employing complex network analysis methods, we analyzed the evolutionary characteristics of accident cause knowledge in terms of network structure, nodes, risk-cause mappings, and pathways. The results indicate that the network structure of accident causes has evolved, with a dispersed structure gradually becoming more tightly coupled; accident causes have shifted from the behavioral-operational level to the institutional and systemic levels; management, technical, and behavioral risks exhibit significant differentiation in terms of exposure and transformation capacity; and early, relatively short key causal pathways have gradually evolved into cross-level, multi-stage transmission chains. Based on these evolutionary patterns, it is recommended that safety governance shift from post-incident correction to pre-incident prevention, and from single-point control to systemic coordination. This provides a knowledge foundation and decision-making basis for the transformation of China’s coal mine safety governance from behavioral control to systemic governance.

     

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