基于改进SSA-BP神经网络的矿井风量预测模型

An Improved SSA-BP Neural Network-Based Model for Predicting Mine Ventilation Airflow

  • 摘要: 为提高矿井通风系统风量预测的精度,针对传统BP神经网络存在随机初始化、易陷入局部最优及收敛速度较慢等问题,本文构建了一种基于改进麻雀搜索算法(SSA)的BP神经网络预测模型。该模型在SSA中引入柯西变异与反向学习机制,以增强算法的全局搜索能力和收敛效率。通过改进SSA优化BP神经网络的权值和阈值,构建改进SSA-BP(ISSA-BP)预测模型。矿井风量受多因素影响且具有非线性特征,本文选取 LSTM、BP、PSO-BP、SSA-BP及改进SSA-BP五种模型进行对比。并采用平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)、均方误差(MSE)、均方根误差(RMSE)以及拟合能力(EC)等指标对预测结果进行评估。结果表明,改进SSA-BP模型的EC为0.98,较LSTM、BP、PSO-BP和SSA-BP模型分别提升了0.1、0.06、0.05和0.03;其在MAE、MAPE、MSE、RMSE等指标上也均优于对比模型。研究表明,改进SSA-BP神经网络模型能有效提升风量预测精度,为矿井智能通风系统提供可靠的数据支撑和预测参考。

     

    Abstract: To enhance the accuracy of airflow prediction in mine ventilation systems, this study proposes a BP neural network prediction model optimized by an improved Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA), aiming to address the issues of random initialization and slow convergence in traditional BP neural networks. The improved SSA integrates Cauchy mutation and reverse learning mechanisms, thereby strengthening its global search capability and accelerating convergence. By using the improved SSA to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the BP neural network, an enhanced SSA-BP prediction model is constructed. Mine ventilation volume is affected by multiple factors and exhibits strong nonlinear characteristics. In this study, five models—LSTM, BP, PSO-BP, SSA-BP, and the improved SSA-BP—are developed and comparatively evaluated. Model performance is assessed using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the fitting coefficient (EC). The improved SSA-BP model achieves an EC of 0.98, which is 0.10, 0.06, 0.05, and 0.03 higher than those of the LSTM, BP, PSO-BP, and SSA-BP models, respectively, and it also outperforms all comparison models in terms of MAE, MAPE, MSE, and RMSE. These results indicate that the improved SSA-BP neural network model can significantly enhance airflow prediction accuracy and provide reliable data support and predictive reference for the development of intelligent mine ventilation systems.

     

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