基于正交试验与灰色关联度法的边坡稳定性影响 规律与敏感性研究

Based on the influence of slope stability based on orthogonal test and grey correlation degree method research on law and sensitivity

  • 摘要: 露天矿边坡在复杂地质条件下的稳定性是实际工程中亟待解决的关键问题,判断影响因素的敏感性更是解决问题的基础,为了系统量化各影响因素的敏感性,本研究构建了一种将正交试验设计与灰色关联度分析相结合的综合分析方法。以某典型露天矿边坡为依托,通过数值模拟系统探究了软弱夹层倾角α、黏聚力c、内摩擦角φ、厚度h、埋藏深度d及断层倾角β六个参数对边坡稳定性的影响规律。研究结果表明,正交试验与灰色关联分析得出高度一致的敏感性排序:软弱夹层内摩擦角>软弱夹层埋深>断层倾角>软弱夹层黏聚力>软弱夹层倾角>软弱夹层厚度,证实了该方法框架的可靠性与结论的科学性。进一步地,研究揭示了断层倾角变化对稳定性的非线性影响规律:随着断层倾角增大,边坡稳定性增大,坡体内剪切应变逐步扩展导致断层对边坡稳定性的影响逐渐衰弱。该规律显著符合本文的修正Gompertz模型精准表征。本研究为复杂边坡的主控因素辨识提供了标准化分析框架,对实现边坡灾害的精准防控具有理论指导意义。

     

    Abstract: The stability of open-pit mine slope under complex geological conditions is a key problem to be solved urgently in practical engineering. Judging the sensitivity of influencing factors is the basis for solving the problem. In order to systematically quantify the sensitivity of each influencing factor, this study constructed a comprehensive analysis method combining orthogonal test design and grey correlation analysis. Based on a typical open-pit mine slope, the influence of six parameters of weak interlayer dip angle α, cohesion c, internal friction angle φ, thickness h, burial depth d and fault dip angle β on slope stability was explored by numerical simulation system. The results show that the orthogonal test and grey correlation analysis have a highly consistent sensitivity ranking : internal friction angle of weak interlayer > buried depth of weak interlayer > fault dip angle > cohesion of weak interlayer > dip angle of weak interlayer > thickness of weak interlayer, which confirms the reliability of the method framework and the scientificity of the conclusion. Further, the study reveals the nonlinear influence law of fault dip angle change on stability : with the increase of fault dip angle, the slope stability increases, and the shear strain in the slope gradually expands, which leads to the gradual weakening of the influence of fault on slope stability. This rule is significantly consistent with the accurate characterization of the modified Gompertz model in this paper. This study provides a standardized analysis framework for the identification of the main control factors of complex slopes, and has theoretical guiding significance for the accurate prevention and control of slope disasters.

     

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