基于BP-Fuzzy模型的节理化露天矿边坡稳定性分析

Stability analysis of jointed open-pit mine slope based on BP-Fuzzy model

  • 摘要: 针对模糊测度理论中模糊参数的经验依赖性及破坏机制空间表征不足的双重难题,本文提出了一种融合BP神经网络与模糊测度理论的露天矿边坡稳定性分析方法。通过构建三层BP神经网络的模糊参数代理模型,构建了一种具有参数自学能力的BP-Fuzzy边坡失稳概率评估模型。以高村二期露天铁矿边坡工程为研究对象,结果表明:该模型预测边坡失稳概率呈空间递减特性,揭示出该工程局部区域存在岩体滑落风险,与现场监测的局部裂缝发育特征相符。同时,结合有限元强度折减法精准定位边坡失稳位置及明确破坏机制,从而形成了“概率评估-滑面定位”的综合评价体系,为露天矿边坡动态风险评估提供了一种可量化、可视化的实用性的解决方案。

     

    Abstract: To address the dual challenges of empirical dependency in fuzzy parameters and insufficient spatial characterization of failure mechanisms in fuzzy measurement theory, a stability analysis method for open-pit mine slopes is proposed by integrating BP neural networks and fuzzy measurement theory in this study. A three-layer BP neural network-based proxy model for fuzzy parameters is developed, establishing a BP-Fuzzy slope instability probability assessment model with self-learning capability. Taking the Gao Village Phase II open-pit iron mine slope as a case study, the results demonstrate that the proposed model predicts a spatially decreasing trend in slope instability probability, and reveals localized rockfall risks consistent with field-observed crack. Furthermore, finite element strength reduction method was employed to precisely identify failure locations and elucidate damage mechanisms, while the traditional Bishop method is used to provide cross-validation. A "probability assessment–slip surface localization" comprehensive evaluation system is thereby constructed, which provides a quantifiable and visualized solution for dynamic risk assessment of open-pit mine slopes.

     

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