基于改进SSA−BP神经网络的矿井风量预测

Mine airflow prediction based on an improved SSA-BP neural network

  • 摘要: 针对矿井通风系统风量高精度预测问题,构建了一种基于改进麻雀搜索算法( ISSA)的BP神经网络模型(ISSA−BP),即采用融合柯西变异和反向学习机制的ISSA对BP神经网络的初始权值和阈值进行全局寻优,以减弱随机初始化参数对训练结果的干扰,提升模型在处理复杂风量时序数据时的收敛稳定性、寻优精度和非线性拟合能力。对比实验结果表明,ISSA−BP模型的平均绝对误差(MAE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)、均方误差(MSE)、均方根误差(RMSE)分别为0.75 m3/s,6.2%,0.98 m6/s2和0.98 m3/s,拟合度R2为 0.98,优于长短期记忆(LSTM)、BP、粒子群优化(PSO)−BP和麻雀搜索算法(SSA)−BP模型。消融实验结果表明:SSA−BP模型引入反向学习机制后,其 MAE,MAPE,MSE,RMSE 分别由 2.08 m3/s,8.9%,10.37 m6/s2,3.22 m3/s降至1.96 m3/s,8.2%,9.85 m6/s2和 3.08 m3/s,引入柯西变异机制后各指标分别降至 1.48 m3/s,7.3%,5.95 m6/s2和 2.44 m3/s,融合2种机制后预测误差进一步降低,说明二者协同作用能够进一步提高模型的预测精度与稳定性。

     

    Abstract: To address the problem of high-precision prediction of mine airflow in mine ventilation systems, an Improved Sparrow Search Algorithm (ISSA)-based BP neural network model (ISSA-BP) was developed. The ISSA, incorporating Cauchy mutation and opposition-based learning mechanisms, was used to globally optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the BP neural network, thereby reducing the interference of randomly initialized parameters with the training results and improving the convergence stability, optimization accuracy, and nonlinear fitting capability of the model when handling complex airflow time-series data. Comparative experimental results showed that the ISSA-BP model achieved a Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.75 m3/s, 6.2%, 0.98 m6/s2, and 0.98 m3/s, respectively, with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.98, outperforming the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), BP, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)-BP, and SSA-BP models. The ablation experimental results showed that, after the opposition-based learning mechanism was introduced into the SSA-BP model, the MAE, MAPE, MSE, and RMSE decreased from 2.08 m3/s, 8.9%, 10.37 m6/s2, and 3.22 m3/s to 1.96 m3/s, 8.2%, 9.85 m6/s2, and 3.08 m3/s, respectively. After the Cauchy mutation mechanism was introduced, the corresponding metrics further decreased to 1.48 m3/s, 7.3%, 5.95 m6/s2, and 2.44 m3/s, respectively. When the two mechanisms were integrated, the prediction errors were further reduced, indicating that their synergistic effect further improved the prediction accuracy and stability of the model.

     

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