煤自燃监测预警技术研究进展及展望

Research progress and prospects of coal spontaneous combustion monitoring and early warning technology

  • 摘要: 针对煤自燃监测预警技术鲜有学者从井下不同场景实际工况与监测技术适配性的角度出发进行综述的问题,对井下场景实际工况的适用监测技术展开了综述。梳理了煤矿典型场景(采空区、工作面−巷道)适用的煤自燃监测技术及研究现状;分析了基于指标气体和机器学习的煤自燃预测技术原理及研究现状;介绍了现有煤自燃阶段划分方式、分级预警方法,并提出煤自燃预警技术智能化发展路径:构建“矿井一站式、可视化、智能化”煤自燃智能预警平台,实现煤自燃关键信息的实时连续可视化监测;随着大模型与煤炭行业的深度结合,煤自燃预警技术将向“多模态分析−精准预测−主动式防控”的智能化方向发展。指出了煤自燃监测预警技术的发展方向:① 继续研究煤自燃多物理场耦合机制及其致灾机理,为超前预警与主动防控提供理论支撑。② 基于煤自燃特性与井下实际工况,重点突破新型监测技术的井下应用瓶颈,为多参数动态监测网络构建提供技术支持。③ 深度结合机器学习、数字孪生等技术,基于多模态预测模型搭建三维可视化智能预警平台。④ 深耕煤炭行业大模型,以通用大模型为底座蒸馏出轻量型煤矿领域垂直大模型,助力煤矿智能化建设。

     

    Abstract: To address the lack of comprehensive reviews focusing on the suitability of coal spontaneous combustion monitoring and early warning technologies for various underground scenarios, this paper reviews monitoring technologies applicable under real underground conditions. It summarizes coal spontaneous combustion monitoring technologies suitable typical coal mine scenarios along with their current research status (goaf areas, working face-roadway). It analyzes the principles and current research on coal spontaneous combustion prediction technologies based on indicator gases and machine learning. It introduces existing coal spontaneous combustion stage division methods and hierarchical early warning strategies. An intelligent development path is proposed: constructing a “one-stop, visualized, and intelligent” early warning platform for coal spontaneous combustion in mines to realize real-time continuous visualization monitoring of key information. With the deep integration of large models and the coal industry, coal spontaneous combustion early warning technology will advance toward an intelligent model of “multimodal analysis-accurate prediction-proactive prevention and control.” The paper points out the development directions of coal spontaneous combustion monitoring and early warning technology: ① continue studying the multi-physical field coupling mechanisms and disaster-causing mechanisms of coal spontaneous combustion to provide theoretical support for proactive early warning and control; ② focus on overcoming bottlenecks in applying new monitoring technologies underground based on coal spontaneous combustion characteristics and actual working conditions, providing technical support for constructing multiparameter dynamic monitoring networks; ③ deeply integrate machine learning, digital twins, and other technologies to build a 3D visualized intelligent early warning platform based on multimodal prediction models; ④ cultivate large models specialized for the coal mining industry, distilling lightweight vertical domain models based on general large models, thereby supporting the intelligent development of coal mines.

     

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